2026-04-11 daily

New Monthly High: BTC Pushes $73,052

BTC Price
$72,960
+1.6%
Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
Conviction
65%
BULLISH
Exchange Flow
-780 BTC
Net Outflow

🎯 Conviction Gauge

Conviction gauge

📊 Price Range & Levels

Price range chart

Fear & Greed History

Volatility chart

⛓️ On-Chain Dashboard

🏦 Exchange Reserve

Exchange Reserve trend

💰 Funding Rates

Funding rate chart

📈 Open Interest vs Netflow

OI vs Netflow
On-Chain Score gauge

Market Snapshot

MetricValue24h Change
BTC$72,960+1.6%
Fear & Greed15 — Extreme Fear
Exchange Netflow-780 BTCConsistent outflow
Weekly Gain+8.5%$67.3k → $73k

Conviction Score: Bullish (0.65)

Weekly wrap: BTC up 8.5% while sentiment stayed at "Extreme Fear" the entire week. Classic wall-of-worry rally. Key drivers:

  • New monthly high territory — $73,052 intraday high represents highest level since early March
  • F&G at 15 with BTC at $73k — sentiment-price divergence is staggering; most participants have missed this move
  • Total week outflows: ~4,930 BTC — systematic institutional accumulation every single day
  • Model range update: $69k–$78k — raising the 7-day range forecast given structural breakout

On-Chain Dashboard

On-Chain Score: 63/100 — Bullish

MetricValue7-Day TrendSignal
Exchange Netflow-780 BTCOutflow every day this week✅ Sustained accumulation
Exchange Reserve2.693M BTC-13,000 BTC month✅ Supply crunch accelerating
Funding Rate+0.06%Healthy positive✅ Not overheated
Open Interest$23.8BTrending higher⚠️ Watch for OI flush risk
Fear & Greed15 — Extreme FearFlat despite +8.5% week✅ Most bearish participants are wrong

Macro Context

  • DXY continuing lower — macro tailwind remains strong for BTC
  • Gold at new ATH — safe haven + inflation hedge narrative both bid
  • Nasdaq recovering — broader risk appetite improving week-over-week
  • Bitcoin ETF weekly flows: positive for full week — institutional demand structural

Weekly Wrap (April 5–11)

This was a textbook accumulation-phase breakout week. BTC went from $67.3k to $73k (+8.5%) while the Fear & Greed index stayed in "Extreme Fear" territory the entire time. Exchange reserves fell 13,000 BTC over the past month. Funding rates flipped from deeply negative to mildly positive.

The setup for next week: support at $70,500–$71,000, resistance at $75,000. Trend is up. Dips are for buying, not selling.

Positioning

Stance: Bullish. 20% cash. Hold longs, trailing stop to $71,000.

We're in a confirmed uptrend with extremely healthy on-chain dynamics and persistent extreme fear — the best combination for sustained price appreciation. Raising trailing stop to $71k to protect the week's gains while staying positioned for the $75k target.

Next report: Monday, April 13, 2026 at 8 AM ET